Women’s World Cup: The Permutations (1)

There are 24 teams in the Women’s World Cup in Canada.

Sixteen of them will make it to the Round of 16. Duh.

I have analysed the permutations for every single team.

Yep, that’s right: every single one.

GROUP A

Canada

If they don’t lose to the Netherlands, they will definitely make it through to the next round.

If they lose, and New Zealand beats China, they’ll finish third. They may or may not qualify for the next round in that scenario.

China PR

If they beat New Zealand, they are in.

If they lose and Canada beats the Netherlands, they finish third.

If they and Canada both lose, they will finish fourth and go home.

Netherlands

Need to beat Canada to qualify. If they lose, and New Zealand fails to beat China, they are third. If New Zealand does beat them, they are fourth.

New Zealand

If they win, and Canada beats the Netherlands, they will finish second, somehow.

If they win and Canada loses, it’s third.

If Canada ties with the Netherlands, they must win by at least two goals to finish third.

Don’t win, don’t make it. Simple as that.

GROUP B

Germany

If they don’t lose to Thailand, they will definitely make it to the round of sixteen.

If they lose, but Ivory Coast beats Norway, they are second and still through.

If Norway wins, on the other hand, they are third.

Norway

They åre in the exåct såme equåtiøn ås Germany. Just swåp Thailand with Ivory Coast.

Thailand

If they beat the Germans, they will somehow qualify.

If they draw with the Germans, but Ivory Coast beats Norway, they are also through.

If they lose, they will still make third, as Ivory Coast has a horrible goal difference which they can’t overcome in one game.

Ivory Coast

Will not make it. Still mathematically possible, but too much of a goal difference hurdle.

GROUP C

Japan

Has qualified!

Switzerland and Cameroon

This game decides it all.

Prepare for the Battle of Edmonton.

Switzerland does have an advantage, having beaten Ecuador by more. So if it’s a draw, the Swiss go through.

Other than that, winner takes all.

Ecuador

Look at the group table.  

While still possible for them to finish third, they need to overcome 20 goal difference points.

And they play Japan.

Not happening.

(Part 2 tomorrow)

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