Does a Tour Match Ton Symbolise Good Times Ahead?

Shaun Marsh scored a century against Kent overnight, presumably pushing his chance for a Test spot way up.

However, could centuries in a tour match pre-Ashes have a detrimental effect on form during the series?

I’ve researched the instances of Aussies scoring a century in a tour match played before the 1st Test, and then seeing how it goes.

  • Shane Watson, 2013: 109 v Worcestershire, 418 runs at 41.80 during Ashes
  • Michael Clarke, 2013: 124* v Worcestershire, 381 runs at 47.62 during Ashes
  • Mike Hussey, 2009: 150 v England Lions, 276 runs at 34.50 during Ashes
  • Marcus North, 2009: 191* v England Lions, 367 runs at 52.42 during Ashes
  • Damien Martyn, 2001: 108 v Worcestershire & 114* v Essex, 382 runs at 76.40 during Ashes
  • Simon Katich, 2001: 168* v Marylebone Cricket Club, 15 runs at 15.00 during Ashes
  • Steve Waugh, 2001: 105 v Marylebone Cricket Club, 321 runs at 107.00 during Ashes
  • Adam Gilchrist, 2001: 150* v Essex, 340 runs at 68.00 during Ashes
  • Matthew Elliott, 1997: 124 v Gloucestershire, 556 runs at 55.60 during Ashes
  • Justin Langer, 1997: 152* v Gloucestershire, did not bat during Ashes
  • Greg Blewett, 1997: 121 v Derbyshire, 381 runs at 38.10 during Ashes
  • Michael Bevan, 1997: 104* v Derbyshire, 43 runs at 8.60 during Ashes

There have been twelve instance of a tour match century in the past twenty years. Out of those twelve, seven averaged more than forty, more than 50%, and two others got more than 30. So, Marsh should get at least 300 runs over the Ashes series, if he gets a regular spot.

And he should also score a century, which most of these managed to do:

  • Bevan 1997: 0 centuries, HS 24
  • Blewett 1997: 1 century, HS 125
  • Clarke 2013: 1 century, HS 187
  • Elliott 1997: 2 centuries, HS 199
  • Gilchrist 2001: 1 century, HS 152
  • Hussey 2009: 1 century, HS 121
  • Katich 2001: 0 centuries, HS 15
  • Martyn 2001: 2 centuries, HS 118
  • North 2009: 2 centuries, HS 125*

Good on you, Marshy.

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